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Foreign portfolio investors (FPIs) have made a notable return to Indian equities, with a net inflow of Rs 24,454 crore in the first week of December, following significant outflows in the previous months. This rebound comes after FPIs withdrew Rs 21,612 crore in November and a record Rs 94,017 crore in October. The latest inflow brings total FPI investments to Rs 9,435 crore in 2024 so far, reflecting the volatility in foreign investment trends.
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is set to determine its rate trajectory on December 6, amid rising inflation and falling growth. While experts anticipate a status quo in rates during this meeting, historical patterns suggest the RBI may align with the US Federal Reserve's rate hikes, as seen in 2022.
Thomas Stucki, Head of Investment at St.Galler Kantonalbank, remains optimistic about the US economy and equities, while expressing concerns about Germany's economic outlook. He anticipates no recession, low interest rates, and a gradual recovery in Europe, driven by Spain's economy. Stucki advises caution with emerging markets and suggests a small allocation to gold for security.
Bitcoin has surged past $96,000, bringing the $100,000 milestone within reach amid mixed sentiments of hope for new highs and profit-taking fears. The rise follows positive PCE data and investor optimism for a potential interest rate cut in December, alongside expectations for a more crypto-friendly regulatory environment under a new administration. The psychological significance of the $100,000 mark remains crucial, with potential support levels identified between $85,000 and $88,000 if selling pressure increases.
Rate-setters are facing pressure to consider a rate cut in the upcoming monetary policy meeting, with MPC member Nagesh Kumar advocating for this move. He argues that a reduction could stimulate demand and private investment, citing easing inflation, sluggish demand, and actions by other central banks, including the US Federal Reserve, as key factors.
Gold prices are currently in consolidation, influenced by geopolitical uncertainties, particularly regarding Russia"s nuclear doctrine and ongoing Middle East conflicts. Eurozone inflation rose to 2.0% in October, with potential monetary policy changes from the ECB and Fed expected in December. Investors are closely monitoring upcoming speeches from Fed representatives, which may signal future interest rate adjustments.
Investors are facing uncertainty as a bull run fades, influenced by factors like US elections, Federal Reserve interest rate decisions, and geopolitical disruptions. Financial advisors have favored bond funds, while gold has performed well amidst stock market volatility and high valuations.
Central banks globally are expected to lower borrowing costs as inflation eases from recent highs, with some emerging markets already cutting rates. While inflation has decreased, the final push to reach the 2% target remains challenging, particularly as underlying price pressures persist. Energy prices, a significant inflation driver, have retreated from their peaks, but elevated inflation continues in some regions, impacting asset prices and housing markets.
Bitcoin has surged past $76,000, reaching a record high following Donald Trump's election victory, with investors eyeing the $80,000 mark. A new regulatory era for Bitcoin in the U.S. is anticipated, contingent on Trump's actions, including potential changes at the SEC. Investors are optimistic after a swift election result, which alleviates market uncertainty, while expectations grow for a possible interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
Bitcoin has surged past $71,000 as investors position themselves ahead of the US presidential election, with hopes that a Trump victory could lead to a more crypto-friendly administration. The market anticipates a potential record high for Bitcoin, contingent on overcoming key resistance levels, while Ether also sees increased demand. Upcoming US economic data, including non-farm payrolls, may influence market sentiment as investors await monetary policy decisions from the Federal Reserve.
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The information provided herein is generated by experimental artificial intelligence and is for informational purposes only.
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